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Championship · Matchday 30Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
West Ham8th place
PNE 23%X 24%WHU 53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Ham lead by 172 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Preston North End -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: West Ham 1.4 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If West Ham score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.1
Over 2.567%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.30X24%4.24253%1.88
Double chance
1X47%2.13X277%1.301276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.567%1.48Under 2.533%3.07BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: West Ham1-1 probability 9.6%

Form

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