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Championship · Matchday 30Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · Vicarage Road
Watford21st place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Sheffield United10th place
WAT 31%X 28%SHU 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sheffield United lead by 123 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Sheffield United 2.0 points per game, Watford 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sheffield United -0.2, Watford -0.9.
  • If Watford score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Sheffield United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.23X28%3.59241%2.43
Double chance
1X59%1.70X269%1.451272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.11Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Watford · Columns: Sheffield United1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

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Head to head

Watford – Sheffield United18 April 20260-2
Sheffield United – Watford18 October 20251-0
Watford – Sheffield United4 January 20251-2
Sheffield United – Watford1 September 20241-0
Sheffield United – Watford25 February 20231-0
Watford – Sheffield United1 August 20221-0