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Championship · Matchday 30Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Wolverhampton4th place
CHA 24%X 27%WOL 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wolverhampton lead by 101 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.7, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.546%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.08X27%3.67248%2.07
Double chance
1X52%1.93X276%1.321273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Wolverhampton1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

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