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Championship · Matchday 18Saturday 28 November · 12:30 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
BLB 46%X 29%CHA 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Blackburn Rovers lead by 91 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Blackburn Rovers 1.8 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.539%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Blackburn Rovers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.16X29%3.42224%4.10
Double chance
1X76%1.32X254%1.861271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.539%2.59Under 2.561%1.63BTTS yes44%2.25BTTS no56%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Charlton Athletic4 January 20262-2
Charlton Athletic – Blackburn Rovers27 September 20253-0