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Championship · Matchday 18Saturday 28 November · 12:30 · LNER Stadium
Lincoln City16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Wolverhampton4th place
LIN 27%X 26%WOL 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wolverhampton lead by 74 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.7, Lincoln City -0.1.
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.7
Over 2.555%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.76X26%3.83247%2.12
Double chance
1X53%1.90X273%1.361274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.20BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln City · Columns: Wolverhampton1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

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