TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 18Saturday 28 November · 15:00 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Stoke City7th place
WHU 61%X 23%STK 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Stoke City -0.3.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.1
Over 2.565%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.65X23%4.43217%5.93
Double chance
1X83%1.20X239%2.531277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.89BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Stoke City2-1 probability 9.8%

Form

Compare →