TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 18Saturday 28 November · 12:30 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Norwich City15th place
PNE 26%X 27%NOR 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Norwich City lead by 168 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Norwich City 1.2 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.6
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.81X27%3.74247%2.13
Double chance
1X53%1.89X274%1.361273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.86Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 12.3%

Head to head

Norwich City – Preston North End14 March 20262-0
Preston North End – Norwich City20 December 20251-1
Norwich City – Preston North End11 February 20250-1
Preston North End – Norwich City22 October 20242-2
Preston North End – Norwich City13 April 20240-1
Norwich City – Preston North End9 December 20230-0