TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 18Saturday 28 November · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Sheffield United10th place
QPR 48%X 27%SHU 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Sheffield United -0.2.
  • If QPR score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.551%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.09X27%3.72225%3.97
Double chance
1X75%1.34X252%1.921273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Sheffield United1-1 probability 12.6%

Head to head

QPR – Sheffield United28 February 20260-2
Sheffield United – QPR8 November 20250-0
QPR – Sheffield United1 March 20251-2
Sheffield United – QPR17 August 20242-2
QPR – Sheffield United2 January 20231-1
Sheffield United – QPR4 October 20220-1