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Championship · Matchday 18Saturday 28 November · 15:00 · The Hawthorns
West Bromwich Albion5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Bristol City14th place
WBA 50%X 28%BRC 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Bromwich Albion lead by 60 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: West Bromwich Albion 2.0 points per game, Bristol City 1.0.
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.542%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.02X28%3.62223%4.40
Double chance
1X77%1.29X250%1.981272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.542%2.39Under 2.558%1.72BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Bromwich Albion · Columns: Bristol City1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

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Head to head

Bristol City – West Bromwich Albion21 March 20260-1
West Bromwich Albion – Bristol City26 December 20251-2
Bristol City – West Bromwich Albion8 April 20252-1
West Bromwich Albion – Bristol City22 December 20242-0
West Bromwich Albion – Bristol City16 March 20242-0
Bristol City – West Bromwich Albion16 September 20230-0