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Championship · Matchday 33Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Portsmouth11th place
BLB 34%X 30%POR 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Portsmouth 0.1, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Portsmouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.90X30%3.33235%2.82
Double chance
1X65%1.55X266%1.531270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.541%2.45Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Portsmouth – Blackburn Rovers19 September 20262-2
Blackburn Rovers – Portsmouth7 March 20261-1
Portsmouth – Blackburn Rovers13 December 20252-1
Portsmouth – Blackburn Rovers29 March 20251-0
Blackburn Rovers – Portsmouth15 January 20253-0