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Championship · Matchday 33Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
QPR9th place
PNE 26%X 27%QPR 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • QPR lead by 157 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: QPR 1.4 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Preston North End -0.4.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.6
Over 2.550%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.87X27%3.67247%2.13
Double chance
1X53%1.88X274%1.351273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

QPR – Preston North End19 September 20262-2
Preston North End – QPR6 April 20261-1
QPR – Preston North End9 August 20251-1
Preston North End – QPR18 April 20251-2
QPR – Preston North End21 December 20242-1
QPR – Preston North End20 April 20241-0