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Championship · Matchday 33Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Wrexham18th place
SOU 64%X 22%WRE 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 171 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Southampton 2.6 points per game, Wrexham 0.8.
  • Southampton take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • If Southampton score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.0
Over 2.561%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.54214%7.24
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.791278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.58BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.26

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Southampton · Columns: Wrexham2-0 probability 10.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Wrexham – Southampton19 September 20262-1
Wrexham – Southampton7 April 20261-5
Southampton – Wrexham9 August 20252-1