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Championship · Matchday 33Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Cardiff City17th place
CHA 35%X 28%CAR 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Cardiff City 1.4 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cardiff City 0.2, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Cardiff City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.82X28%3.54236%2.76
Double chance
1X64%1.57X265%1.551272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Cardiff City1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

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Head to head

Cardiff City – Charlton Athletic19 September 20263-1