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Championship · Matchday 33Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Bramall Lane
Sheffield United10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Stoke City7th place
SHU 48%X 28%STK 24%

Prediction

  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.545%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sheffield United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X28%3.60224%4.16
Double chance
1X76%1.32X252%1.931272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes50%2.02BTTS no50%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sheffield United · Columns: Stoke City1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

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Head to head

Stoke City – Sheffield United19 September 20262-1
Stoke City – Sheffield United29 December 20251-2
Sheffield United – Stoke City6 December 20254-0
Stoke City – Sheffield United25 April 20250-2
Sheffield United – Stoke City26 October 20242-0
Sheffield United – Stoke City14 January 20233-1