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Championship · Matchday 33Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Lincoln City16th place
SWA 59%X 24%LIN 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Swansea City lead by 143 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Swansea City 1.8 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.552%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X24%4.16217%5.95
Double chance
1X83%1.20X241%2.451276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Lincoln City1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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Head to head

Lincoln City – Swansea City19 September 20261-2