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Championship · Matchday 33Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton Wanderers19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Norwich City15th place
BOL 28%X 26%NOR 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Norwich City lead by 102 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Norwich City -0.1, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.9
Over 2.563%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.63X26%3.92247%2.13
Double chance
1X53%1.89X272%1.381275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.71BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bolton Wanderers · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 10.7%

Form

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Head to head

Norwich City – Bolton Wanderers20 September 20263-4