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Championship · Matchday 46Saturday 1 May · 12:30 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Watford21st place
BLB 47%X 28%WAT 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Blackburn Rovers lead by 100 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Blackburn Rovers 1.8 points per game, Watford 0.6.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Watford score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.543%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Blackburn Rovers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.12X28%3.55225%4.07
Double chance
1X75%1.33X253%1.901272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.543%2.30Under 2.557%1.77BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Watford1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Watford24 January 20261-1
Watford – Blackburn Rovers13 September 20250-1
Blackburn Rovers – Watford26 April 20252-1
Watford – Blackburn Rovers26 October 20241-0
Blackburn Rovers – Watford23 December 20231-2
Watford – Blackburn Rovers27 August 20230-1