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Championship · Matchday 46Saturday 1 May · 12:30 · LNER Stadium
Lincoln City16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
LIN 45%X 28%CHA 27%

Prediction

  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.544%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Lincoln City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.22X28%3.53227%3.74
Double chance
1X73%1.36X255%1.821272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln City · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

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