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Championship · Matchday 46Saturday 1 May · 12:30 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Cardiff City17th place
PNE 36%X 28%CAR 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Cardiff City lead by 76 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Cardiff City 1.4 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cardiff City 0.2, Preston North End -0.4.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Cardiff City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.79X28%3.62236%2.74
Double chance
1X64%1.57X264%1.561272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Cardiff City1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

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Head to head

Preston North End – Cardiff City8 April 20252-2
Cardiff City – Preston North End11 December 20240-2
Cardiff City – Preston North End10 February 20240-2
Preston North End – Cardiff City25 November 20231-2
Preston North End – Cardiff City11 March 20232-0
Cardiff City – Preston North End27 August 20220-0