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Championship · Matchday 46Saturday 1 May · 12:30 · St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Sheffield United10th place
SOU 62%X 23%SHU 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 150 rating points.
  • Southampton take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • If Southampton score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.62X23%4.37215%6.51
Double chance
1X85%1.18X238%2.611277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Southampton · Columns: Sheffield United2-0 probability 10.7%

Form

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Head to head

Southampton – Sheffield United21 January 20261-0
Sheffield United – Southampton30 September 20251-2