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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 46Saturday 1 May · 12:30 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Norwich City15th place
QPR 45%X 27%NOR 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Norwich City -0.1.
  • If QPR score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.556%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.24X27%3.69228%3.55
Double chance
1X72%1.39X255%1.811273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

QPR – Norwich City1 January 20261-2
Norwich City – QPR29 November 20253-1
Norwich City – QPR29 December 20241-1
QPR – Norwich City7 December 20243-0
QPR – Norwich City10 February 20242-2
Norwich City – QPR25 November 20231-0