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Championship · Matchday 46Saturday 1 May · 12:30 · The Hawthorns
West Bromwich Albion5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
WBA 64%X 22%BOL 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Bromwich Albion lead by 120 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: West Bromwich Albion 2.0 points per game, Bolton Wanderers 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Bromwich Albion 0.2, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.55X22%4.60214%7.23
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.811278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: West Bromwich Albion · Columns: Bolton Wanderers2-0 probability 11.9%

Form

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