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Picks
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Serie A · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 17:30 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Como4th place
BOL 28%X 28%COM 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 119 rating points.
  • Como take 2.2 points per game away.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.62X28%3.62245%2.23
Double chance
1X55%1.81X272%1.381272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Como1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Como – Bologna10 January 20261-1
Bologna – Como30 August 20251-0
Bologna – Como1 February 20252-0
Como – Bologna14 September 20242-2