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Serie A · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 17:30 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Juventus7th place
NAP 36%X 30%JUV 34%

Prediction

  • If Napoli score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Napoli win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.77X30%3.35234%2.94
Double chance
1X66%1.52X264%1.571270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.541%2.44Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Napoli · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →
NapoliWLDWL

Head to head

Juventus – Napoli1 November 20262-0
Juventus – Napoli25 January 20263-0
Napoli – Juventus7 December 20252-1
Napoli – Juventus25 January 20252-1
Juventus – Napoli21 September 20240-0
Napoli – Juventus3 March 20242-1