TR
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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 17:30 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Lazio1st place
CAG 21%X 25%LAZ 53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lazio lead by 197 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lazio 3.0 points per game, Cagliari 0.2.
  • Lazio take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If Lazio score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.6
Over 2.548%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lazio win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.69X25%3.93253%1.88
Double chance
1X47%2.14X279%1.271275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Lazio1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →
LazioWWWWW

Head to head

Lazio – Cagliari1 November 20262-1
Cagliari – Lazio21 February 20260-0
Lazio – Cagliari3 November 20252-0
Cagliari – Lazio3 February 20251-2
Lazio – Cagliari4 November 20242-1
Cagliari – Lazio10 February 20241-3