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Serie A · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Venezia20th place
UDI 49%X 27%VEN 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Udinese lead by 92 rating points.
  • If Udinese score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.545%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Udinese win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.03X27%3.72224%4.21
Double chance
1X76%1.31X251%1.981273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Venezia1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
UdineseLLLDL
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Udinese – Venezia1 February 20253-2
Venezia – Udinese30 October 20243-2
Venezia – Udinese10 April 20221-2
Udinese – Venezia27 August 20213-0