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Serie A · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 17:30 · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Atalanta13th place
GEN 33%X 28%ATA 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Atalanta lead by 76 rating points.
  • If Genoa score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Atalanta win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.02X28%3.58239%2.57
Double chance
1X61%1.64X267%1.501272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Genoa · Columns: Atalanta1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Atalanta – Genoa2 May 20260-0
Genoa – Atalanta21 December 20250-1
Genoa – Atalanta17 May 20252-3
Atalanta – Genoa5 October 20245-1
Genoa – Atalanta11 February 20241-4
Atalanta – Genoa22 October 20232-0