TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Sassuolo15th place
TOR 43%X 28%SAS 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Torino 1.8 points per game, Sassuolo 0.2.
  • If Torino score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.31X28%3.63229%3.42
Double chance
1X71%1.41X257%1.761272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.554%1.86Under 2.546%2.16BTTS yes58%1.74BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Sassuolo1-1 probability 12.5%
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Sassuolo – Torino29 August 20262-1
Torino – Sassuolo8 May 20262-1
Sassuolo – Torino21 December 20250-1
Sassuolo – Torino10 February 20241-1
Torino – Sassuolo6 November 20232-1
Sassuolo – Torino3 April 20231-1