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Serie A · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 17:30 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Frosinone6th place
BOL 55%X 24%FRO 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bologna 0.1, Frosinone -0.4.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.2
Over 2.562%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.83X24%4.15221%4.68
Double chance
1X79%1.27X245%2.201276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.61BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Frosinone1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Frosinone – Bologna7 April 20240-0
Bologna – Frosinone22 October 20232-1