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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Inter2nd place
JUV 30%X 27%INT 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 131 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Juventus 1.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Juventus 0.8.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Inter win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.28X27%3.65242%2.37
Double chance
1X58%1.73X270%1.441273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Inter1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Inter – Juventus14 February 20263-2
Juventus – Inter13 September 20254-3
Juventus – Inter16 February 20251-0
Inter – Juventus27 October 20244-4
Inter – Juventus4 February 20241-0
Juventus – Inter26 November 20231-1