TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 17:30 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Torino10th place
CAG 38%X 29%TOR 33%

Prediction

  • If Cagliari score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Cagliari win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.61X29%3.49233%3.03
Double chance
1X67%1.49X262%1.621271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Torino1-1 probability 13.7%
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Cagliari – Torino17 May 20262-1
Torino – Cagliari27 December 20251-2
Torino – Cagliari24 January 20252-0
Cagliari – Torino20 October 20243-2
Cagliari – Torino26 January 20241-2
Torino – Cagliari21 August 20230-0