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Serie A · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Udinese19th place
LAZ 65%X 22%UDI 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lazio lead by 211 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lazio 3.0 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lazio 0.5, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Lazio score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.551%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.54X22%4.54213%7.69
Double chance
1X87%1.15X235%2.851278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lazio · Columns: Udinese2-0 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
LazioWWWWW
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Udinese – Lazio7 September 20261-2
Lazio – Udinese27 April 20263-3
Udinese – Lazio27 December 20251-1
Lazio – Udinese10 March 20251-1
Udinese – Lazio24 August 20242-1
Lazio – Udinese11 March 20241-2