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Serie A · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Atalanta13th place
COM 59%X 24%ATA 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 115 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Atalanta 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Atalanta -0.5.
  • If Como score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.550%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.70X24%4.16217%5.89
Double chance
1X83%1.20X241%2.441276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Atalanta1-0 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Como – Atalanta1 February 20260-0
Atalanta – Como4 October 20251-1
Como – Atalanta25 January 20251-2
Atalanta – Como24 September 20242-3