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Serie A · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Fiorentina17th place
LEC 33%X 28%FIO 39%

Prediction

  • If Lecce score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Fiorentina win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.02X28%3.54239%2.59
Double chance
1X61%1.63X267%1.501272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes51%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Fiorentina1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Lecce – Fiorentina20 April 20261-1
Fiorentina – Lecce2 November 20250-1
Fiorentina – Lecce28 February 20251-0
Lecce – Fiorentina20 October 20240-6
Lecce – Fiorentina2 February 20243-2
Fiorentina – Lecce27 August 20232-2