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Serie A · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 17:30 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Venezia20th place
SAS 54%X 25%VEN 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sassuolo lead by 110 rating points.
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.550%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sassuolo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.84X25%3.94220%4.90
Double chance
1X80%1.26X246%2.181275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sassuolo · Columns: Venezia1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Sassuolo6 March 20221-4
Sassuolo – Venezia23 October 20213-1