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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 7Saturday 17 October · 17:00 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Inter2nd place
BOL 19%X 23%INT 58%

What does the market say?

BolognaDrawInterRinvalo19%23%58%
Market18%23%59%

✓ Agree · both back Inter

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Inter lead by 230 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.6 points per game, Bologna 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.1, Bologna 0.2.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 45% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.0
Over 2.560%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Inter win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
119%5.39X23%4.28258%1.72
Double chance
1X42%2.38X281%1.231277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.560%1.68Under 2.540%2.48BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.37

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Inter1-3 probability 6.7% · final score

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Bologna – Inter17 October 20261-3
Bologna – Inter23 May 20263-3
Inter – Bologna4 January 20263-1
Bologna – Inter20 April 20251-0
Inter – Bologna15 January 20252-2
Bologna – Inter9 March 20240-1