TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 7Monday 19 October · 19:45 · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma18th place
Full time0-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Torino10th place
PAR 35%X 30%TOR 34%

What does the market say?

ParmaDrawTorinoRinvalo35%30%34%
Market31%31%38%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Parma 35%, market Torino 38%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Parma score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.538%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Parma win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.84X30%3.29234%2.91
Double chance
1X66%1.52X265%1.541270%1.44
Goals
Over 2.538%2.62Under 2.562%1.62BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Parma · Columns: Torino0-3 probability 2.4% · final score
ParmaWLLLD
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Parma – Torino19 October 20260-3
Torino – Parma13 March 20264-1
Parma – Torino29 September 20252-1
Parma – Torino8 March 20252-2
Torino – Parma5 January 20250-0