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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 7Sunday 18 October · 19:45 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Full time0-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Lazio1st place
JUV 56%X 26%LAZ 18%

What does the market say?

JuventusDrawLazioRinvalo56%26%18%
Market56%25%19%

✓ Agree · both back Juventus

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 1.0, Lazio 0.1.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Lazio score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.542%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X26%3.88218%5.47
Double chance
1X82%1.22X244%2.271274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.542%2.36Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes44%2.26BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Lazio0-3 probability 0.8% · final score

Form

Compare →
LazioWWWWW

Head to head

Juventus – Lazio18 October 20260-3
Juventus – Lazio8 February 20262-2
Lazio – Juventus26 October 20251-0
Lazio – Juventus10 May 20251-1
Juventus – Lazio19 October 20241-0
Lazio – Juventus30 March 20241-0