TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 7Friday 16 October · 19:45 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Full time4-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✕ Missed
Sassuolo15th place
FRO 36%X 27%SAS 37%

What does the market say?

FrosinoneDrawSassuoloRinvalo36%27%37%
Market41%25%34%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Sassuolo 37%, market Frosinone 41%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.553%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Sassuolo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.82X27%3.67237%2.69
Double chance
1X63%1.59X264%1.551273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.13BTTS yes58%1.74BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Sassuolo4-2 probability 0.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Frosinone – Sassuolo16 October 20264-2
Sassuolo – Frosinone9 March 20241-0
Frosinone – Sassuolo17 September 20234-2