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Serie A · Matchday 7Sunday 18 October · 14:00 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina17th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Como4th place
FIO 23%X 26%COM 51%

What does the market say?

FiorentinaDrawComoRinvalo23%26%51%
Market29%26%45%

✓ Agree · both back Como

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Como lead by 147 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.0 points per game, Fiorentina 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.7, Fiorentina -0.2.
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.7
Over 2.551%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.33X26%3.88251%1.95
Double chance
1X49%2.05X277%1.301274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fiorentina · Columns: Como1-3 probability 5.4% · final score

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Fiorentina – Como18 October 20261-3
Como – Fiorentina14 February 20261-2
Fiorentina – Como21 September 20251-2
Fiorentina – Como16 February 20250-2
Como – Fiorentina24 November 20240-2