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Serie A · Matchday 17Sunday 3 January · 17:30 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Juventus7th place
BOL 27%X 29%JUV 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Bologna 0.1.
  • Juventus take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.4
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.64X29%3.49244%2.28
Double chance
1X56%1.78X273%1.381271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.543%2.33Under 2.557%1.75BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Juventus – Bologna19 April 20262-0
Bologna – Juventus14 December 20250-1
Bologna – Juventus4 May 20251-1
Juventus – Bologna7 December 20242-2
Bologna – Juventus20 May 20243-3
Juventus – Bologna27 August 20231-1