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Serie A · Matchday 17Sunday 3 January · 17:30 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Genoa11th place
CAG 38%X 30%GEN 33%

Prediction

  • If Cagliari score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Genoa score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Cagliari win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.66X30%3.38233%3.05
Double chance
1X67%1.49X262%1.601270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.541%2.46Under 2.559%1.68BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Genoa1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Cagliari12 January 20263-0
Cagliari – Genoa22 November 20253-3
Cagliari – Genoa7 March 20251-1
Genoa – Cagliari24 November 20242-2
Genoa – Cagliari29 April 20243-0
Cagliari – Genoa5 November 20232-1