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Serie A · Matchday 17Sunday 3 January · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Venezia20th place
TOR 53%X 26%VEN 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Torino lead by 140 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Torino 1.8 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • If Torino score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.545%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.87X26%3.81220%4.89
Double chance
1X80%1.26X247%2.141274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Venezia1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
TorinoWWWLL
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Torino – Venezia2 May 20251-1
Venezia – Torino30 August 20240-1
Torino – Venezia12 February 20221-2
Venezia – Torino27 September 20211-1