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Serie A · Matchday 17Sunday 3 January · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Roma3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Frosinone6th place
ROM 72%X 18%FRO 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 176 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Roma 0.9, Frosinone -0.4.
  • Roma take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Roma score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.0
Over 2.569%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.40X18%5.60211%9.42
Double chance
1X89%1.12X228%3.511282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.569%1.44Under 2.531%3.27BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Roma · Columns: Frosinone2-0 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →
RomaDWDWW

Head to head

Frosinone – Roma18 February 20240-3
Roma – Frosinone1 October 20232-0