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Serie A · Matchday 17Sunday 3 January · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Sassuolo15th place
INT 79%X 14%SAS 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 277 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Sassuolo 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Sassuolo -0.3.
  • If Inter score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 24% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.0 – 0.9
Over 2.574%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
179%1.26X14%7.0426%15.53
Double chance
1X94%1.07X221%4.841286%1.17
Goals
Over 2.574%1.35Under 2.526%3.87BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Sassuolo3-0 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Sassuolo – Inter8 February 20260-5
Inter – Sassuolo21 September 20252-1
Sassuolo – Inter4 May 20241-0
Inter – Sassuolo27 September 20231-2
Inter – Sassuolo13 May 20234-2
Sassuolo – Inter8 October 20221-2