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Serie A · Matchday 17Sunday 3 January · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Lecce14th place
COM 73%X 18%LEC 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 257 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Lecce 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Lecce -0.6.
  • If Como score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Lecce score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.6
Over 2.549%
Both teams score38%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.37X18%5.4629%11.57
Double chance
1X91%1.09X227%3.711282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes38%2.65BTTS no62%1.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Lecce2-0 probability 15.5%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Como – Lecce28 February 20263-1
Lecce – Como27 December 20250-3
Lecce – Como19 April 20250-3
Como – Lecce30 December 20242-0