TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 17:30 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Napoli8th place
BOL 32%X 29%NAP 40%

Prediction

  • If Bologna score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Napoli score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Napoli win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.16X29%3.51240%2.51
Double chance
1X60%1.66X268%1.461271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Napoli1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW
NapoliWLDWL

Head to head

Napoli – Bologna13 September 20261-0
Napoli – Bologna11 May 20262-3
Bologna – Napoli9 November 20252-0
Bologna – Napoli7 April 20251-1
Napoli – Bologna25 August 20243-0
Napoli – Bologna11 May 20240-2