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Serie A · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Udinese19th place
COM 71%X 19%UDI 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 237 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Como score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.7
Over 2.552%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
171%1.41X19%5.21210%10.13
Double chance
1X90%1.11X229%3.441281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.09BTTS yes43%2.34BTTS no57%1.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Udinese2-0 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Udinese – Como22 August 20261-1
Udinese – Como6 April 20260-0
Como – Udinese3 January 20261-0
Como – Udinese20 January 20254-1
Udinese – Como1 September 20241-0