TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Inter2nd place
TOR 13%X 19%INT 69%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 247 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Torino -0.3.
  • Inter take 1.9 points per game away.
  • If Torino score first, they win 35% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.4
Over 2.566%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.78X19%5.40269%1.46
Double chance
1X31%3.19X287%1.151281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.566%1.52Under 2.534%2.91BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Inter0-2 probability 9.9%
TorinoWWWLL
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Torino – Inter26 April 20262-2
Inter – Torino25 August 20255-0
Torino – Inter11 May 20250-2
Inter – Torino5 October 20243-2
Inter – Torino28 April 20242-0
Torino – Inter21 October 20230-3