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Serie A · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1st place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Juventus7th place
LAZ 35%X 29%JUV 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Lazio score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.85X29%3.41236%2.81
Double chance
1X64%1.55X265%1.541271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.35Under 2.557%1.74BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lazio · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

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LazioWWWWW

Head to head

Juventus – Lazio18 October 20260-3
Juventus – Lazio8 February 20262-2
Lazio – Juventus26 October 20251-0
Lazio – Juventus10 May 20251-1
Juventus – Lazio19 October 20241-0
Lazio – Juventus30 March 20241-0